June 11, 2012

New bet with Felix Salmon of Reuters

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rakesh Agrawal @ 8:10 pm

I have a new bet with Felix Salmon of Reuters tied to an exit for Square.

I win the bet if:

  • Square is acquired on or before December 31, 2012 by anyone other than PayPal.

Felix wins the bet if:

  • Square is not acquired on or before December 31, 2012.
  • Square is acquired by PayPal.

Stakes: Dinner next time we are in the same city at a place of the winner’s choosing.

“Acquired” means that an agreement has been announced by. The transaction need not have closed.

The outcome of this bet does not cancel out our previous bet related to Groupon and Priceline. (One that I’m currently winning.)

Any disputes will be settled by Naveen Selvadurai.

About these ads


  1. hard to disagree with you and agree with felix here — square has a product + service in hi and growing demand, is in a battle with many many contestants to see who becomes the next true mobile payments platform. paypal buying square is a FB buying instagram move — only if they see a threat — but it’s not clear that square is the main threat (yet). this will take some time to play out i think, so at the very least the outside/drop dead date on your deal makes you the favorite.

    Comment by NYEsquire — June 11, 2012 @ 8:45 pm

  2. [...] time we’re in the same city, I’m buying Rocky dinner. At least I’m still winning the other bet, for the same [...]

    Pingback by How I lost my Groupon bet | Felix Salmon — November 9, 2012 @ 5:20 pm

  3. Forthly and Firstly – Groupon’s own Pre-IPO research pointed to a bad business model showing their overhead and pricing could not support expected retailer payout.

    Comment by finspag — November 10, 2012 @ 10:32 am

  4. [...] in June, social/local analyst Rocky Agrawal bet the Reuters financial journalist that Square would be acquired by a company other than PayPal in [...]

    Pingback by The Steaks in Square’s Future | Street Fight — November 28, 2012 @ 5:03 am

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

The Silver is the New Black Theme. Blog at


Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 227 other followers

%d bloggers like this: